2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to a final four teams, so when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon are going to playing to face the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game that takes place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't value earlier times, they are focused on the sport accessible.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in a very competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, ignore about this, days gone by doesn't be the cause in our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is that Germany hasn't won against Italy inside a major tournament, but just what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as these are the favored at -135. The Over/Under number euro cup 2016 stadium is 2.5.
This game is going to be a tough, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way about this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15